The latest numbers are - IMHO - tipping past "concerning to MSFT" to "bloodbath". Firefox over 20% for another month. Safari gaining fast. Chrome over 1% in a few months. The rising sentiment that Web developers can no longer develop solely for IE and ignore the other browsers is now simply a rule.
As for me, let me know when I can write hardware accelerated OpenGL code that runs cross-platform in 95% of browsers, in a Canvas tag, driven by JavaScript, using the default browser install, no plug-ins or Native Clients or whatnot. I'll check back some time late in the next decade.
PS Google Native Client is - for what it is - nicely packaged and fun to mess around with. Anyone who is proclaiming it a Flash/Flex killer probably hasn't actually downloaded NC and run it. It's a loooooong way from being a Flash irritant, let alone killer. It's at about the same stage of maturity that Firefox was the night Blake Ross decided to fork a Web browser instead of going clubbing on South Beach, except that Adobe is an able opponent in "rich clients", while Microsoft has been asleep at the wheel with IE.
Sunday, January 4, 2009
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